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 • Modèle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnières du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Avril 2019

Avril 2019 - Mai 2019 - Juin 2019 - Juillet 2019 - Août 2019 - Septembre 2019


Anomalie de la température à 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
25/03/2019 06Z+1.1 °C+1 °C+1.8 °C+1.2 °C+1.3 °C+0.7 °C+2.1 °C
25/03/2019 00Z+1.3 °C+0.4 °C+0.8 °C+1.3 °C+1.6 °C-0.2 °C+1.6 °C
24/03/2019 18Z-1.4 °C+0.1 °C+0.4 °C-0.2 °C-0.9 °C-0.6 °C-0.7 °C
24/03/2019 12Z-1.2 °C-0.9 °C-1.2 °C-0.3 °C-0.5 °C-2.4 °C-0.3 °C
24/03/2019 06Z+0.4 °C+0.4 °C+0.5 °C+0.6 °C+0.7 °C-0.4 °C+1.5 °C
24/03/2019 00Z+0.9 °C+0.9 °C+3 °C+1.8 °C+1.2 °C+0.2 °C+0.3 °C
23/03/2019 18Z+0.7 °C+0.8 °C+0.9 °C+0.6 °C+1 °C+0.2 °C+2.6 °C
23/03/2019 12Z+0.9 °C+1.2 °C+2.1 °C+1.3 °C+1 °C+0.9 °C+2.3 °C
23/03/2019 06Z+2 °C+1 °C+1.1 °C+0.9 °C+2.3 °C+0.7 °C+2.9 °C
23/03/2019 00Z-0.5 °C-0.5 °C-0.8 °C-0.3 °C+0.2 °C-1.4 °C+1.2 °C
22/03/2019 18Z-0.2 °C+1.1 °C+0.1 °C+0.3 °C+0.1 °C-0.2 °C+1.6 °C
22/03/2019 12Z-1.6 °C-0.3 °C-1.4 °C-0.7 °C-1.1 °C-2.1 °C-1 °C
22/03/2019 06Z+1.7 °C+1.4 °C+2.4 °C+1.5 °C+1.8 °C+1.1 °C+2.5 °C
22/03/2019 00Z+0.2 °C+0.6 °C-0.2 °C+0.3 °C+1.1 °C-0.4 °C+2.9 °C
21/03/2019 18Z+0.3 °C+0.2 °C+0.7 °C+0.5 °C+0.5 °C-0.3 °C+1.4 °C
21/03/2019 12Z+0.5 °C+0.7 °C+0.4 °C+0.3 °C+0.9 °C+0.1 °C+2.6 °C
21/03/2019 06Z-0.2 °C-0.6 °C-1 °C-0.2 °C+0.4 °C-1.9 °C+0.6 °C
21/03/2019 00Z+0.9 °C+0.3 °C+1.2 °C+0.9 °C+1.3 °C-0.2 °C+1.5 °C
20/03/2019 18Z+0.6 °C+0.4 °C+1.2 °C+0.6 °C+0.6 °C+0.1 °C+1.8 °C
20/03/2019 12Z-1 °C-0.8 °C-1 °C+0.1 °C-0.4 °C-2.6 °C-0.1 °C
20/03/2019 06Z-0.9 °C-0.7 °C-0.2 °C+0.3 °C-0.3 °C-2 °C-0.5 °C
20/03/2019 00Z+1.5 °C+0.5 °C+2.1 °C+1.2 °C+1.7 °C+0.3 °C+1.8 °C
19/03/2019 18Z-1.6 °C-1.4 °C-1.4 °C-0.3 °C-0.9 °C-3.2 °C-1 °C
19/03/2019 12Z+2.1 °C+1.5 °C+3.6 °C+2.2 °C+2.3 °C+1.6 °C+2.1 °C
19/03/2019 06Z-0.1 °C+0 °C-0.1 °C+0.1 °C+0.6 °C-1.1 °C+0.7 °C
19/03/2019 00Z-0.8 °C-0.4 °C-0.2 °C+0.7 °C-0.4 °C-2.6 °C-1.2 °C
18/03/2019 18Z+0.1 °C+1 °C+0.9 °C+1 °C+0.5 °C-0.2 °C+1.2 °C
18/03/2019 12Z+4.1 °C+1.4 °C+2.9 °C+3.5 °C+4.7 °C+2.2 °C+4.7 °C
18/03/2019 06Z+2.7 °C+2.5 °C+3.2 °C+2.4 °C+3.2 °C+2.2 °C+4.1 °C
18/03/2019 00Z+1 °C+1.8 °C+2.5 °C+1 °C+1 °C+1.1 °C+2 °C
Moyenne+0.5 °C+0.5 °C+0.8 °C+0.8 °C+0.9 °C-0.3 °C+1.4 °C

Anomalie de la température à 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
25/03/2019 06Z+1.9 °C+0.1 °C+0.8 °C+0.7 °C+1.7 °C+1.4 °C+2 °C
25/03/2019 00Z+1 °C-0.9 °C-0.3 °C+0.8 °C+1.3 °C+0.6 °C+1 °C
24/03/2019 18Z-1 °C-1.1 °C-0.5 °C-0.4 °C-1.2 °C-0.1 °C-1.5 °C
24/03/2019 12Z-1.6 °C-2 °C-2.2 °C-1.7 °C-1.3 °C-1.7 °C-1.3 °C
24/03/2019 06Z+0.2 °C+-0 °C-0.4 °C-0.5 °C-0.1 °C+0.2 °C+0.5 °C
24/03/2019 00Z+1.4 °C-0.4 °C+1.9 °C+2.7 °C+1.1 °C+0.9 °C-0.4 °C
23/03/2019 18Z+0.1 °C+0.2 °C-0.3 °C-1.2 °C+0.2 °C+0.7 °C+1.7 °C
23/03/2019 12Z+1.4 °C+1.2 °C+1.6 °C+1 °C+0.5 °C+1.5 °C+1.6 °C
23/03/2019 06Z+1.5 °C+0.3 °C+0.4 °C-0.4 °C+1.7 °C+1.6 °C+2.1 °C
23/03/2019 00Z-0.9 °C-1.7 °C-1.9 °C-2 °C-0.7 °C-0.5 °C+0.4 °C
22/03/2019 18Z-0.9 °C+0.3 °C-0.9 °C-1.8 °C-1 °C+0.3 °C+0.3 °C
22/03/2019 12Z-2.5 °C-0.8 °C-2.3 °C-2.5 °C-2.6 °C-1.7 °C-2.5 °C
22/03/2019 06Z+1.7 °C+1.1 °C+2 °C+0.8 °C+1.6 °C+2.1 °C+1.9 °C
22/03/2019 00Z-0.1 °C-0.1 °C-1.4 °C-1.7 °C+0.6 °C+0.5 °C+2.3 °C
21/03/2019 18Z-0.3 °C-0.9 °C-0.5 °C-0.9 °C-0.5 °C+0.3 °C+0.4 °C
21/03/2019 12Z+0.7 °C+0.2 °C-0.3 °C-1.7 °C+1 °C+1.2 °C+2.4 °C
21/03/2019 06Z-0.7 °C-1.5 °C-2 °C-1.9 °C-0.2 °C-0.9 °C+0.3 °C
21/03/2019 00Z+0.7 °C-0.9 °C-0.4 °C-0.7 °C+1.2 °C+0.5 °C+1 °C
20/03/2019 18Z+0.5 °C-0.5 °C+0.2 °C-0.3 °C+0.3 °C+0.9 °C+1.5 °C
20/03/2019 12Z-1.6 °C-1.9 °C-2.2 °C-1.8 °C-1.2 °C-2 °C-0.5 °C
20/03/2019 06Z-1.6 °C-2 °C-1.4 °C-1.4 °C-1.6 °C-1.7 °C-1.8 °C
20/03/2019 00Z+1.8 °C+0.3 °C+1.8 °C+1.5 °C+1.6 °C+1.8 °C+1.2 °C
19/03/2019 18Z-2.2 °C-2.8 °C-2.4 °C-2.5 °C-1.8 °C-2.9 °C-2.2 °C
19/03/2019 12Z+2.5 °C+0.7 °C+3.1 °C+2.3 °C+2.2 °C+2.6 °C+1.5 °C
19/03/2019 06Z-0.6 °C-1.5 °C-1.3 °C-2.1 °C-0.5 °C-0.7 °C-0.2 °C
19/03/2019 00Z-2.4 °C-2 °C-2.2 °C-1.2 °C-2.1 °C-2.6 °C-2.8 °C
18/03/2019 18Z+0 °C+0.4 °C+0 °C+0.2 °C+0 °C+0.5 °C+0.2 °C
18/03/2019 12Z+4.3 °C+0.4 °C+2.4 °C+3.3 °C+4.5 °C+3.2 °C+4.4 °C
18/03/2019 06Z+2.7 °C+2.6 °C+3.4 °C+2.2 °C+2.7 °C+3.3 °C+3.4 °C
18/03/2019 00Z+1.6 °C+1.6 °C+2.1 °C+1.6 °C+0.8 °C+1.9 °C+1.2 °C
Moyenne+0.3 °C-0.4 °C-0.1 °C-0.3 °C+0.3 °C+0.4 °C+0.6 °C

Anomalie de quantité de précipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
25/03/2019 06Z+24.5 %+24.1 %+16.6 %-18.4 %-12.6 %-19.6 %-6.4 %
25/03/2019 00Z-65.7 %-5.5 %-52.6 %-85.9 %-75.6 %-36.1 %-55.4 %
24/03/2019 18Z-34.6 %+7.8 %-52.4 %-54.6 %-71.1 %-38.7 %-52.3 %
24/03/2019 12Z-46.3 %+175.9 %-42.2 %-22.6 %-56.8 %-14.2 %-35.2 %
24/03/2019 06Z+41.9 %-32 %+18 %+45 %-49.6 %+3.3 %-13.3 %
24/03/2019 00Z-88.8 %-78 %-98.3 %-96 %-90.7 %-87.3 %-74.9 %
23/03/2019 18Z-37.3 %-47.9 %-49.4 %-79.1 %-30.7 %-26.9 %-23.6 %
23/03/2019 12Z+25.5 %-69.3 %-42.3 %-59.6 %+36.3 %-9 %+41.2 %
23/03/2019 06Z-7.1 %-76.9 %-22.1 %+35.3 %-11 %-46 %-48.6 %
23/03/2019 00Z-44.5 %+119.6 %+16.5 %-37.1 %-47.2 %+6.1 %+6.8 %
22/03/2019 18Z-35.7 %+7.5 %-64 %-43.5 %-24.3 %-30.6 %-24.4 %
22/03/2019 12Z-13.7 %-4.4 %-30.3 %+9.3 %+0.7 %-20.5 %+13.8 %
22/03/2019 06Z+35.3 %-10.8 %+2.9 %+6.7 %-6.3 %-12.8 %+6.1 %
22/03/2019 00Z-4.5 %+152.1 %-20.2 %-24.3 %-26 %+54.3 %-41.8 %
21/03/2019 18Z-22.5 %+24.1 %-24.6 %+1.4 %-29.6 %+20.5 %-21 %
21/03/2019 12Z+80.4 %+277.4 %+26 %-6.2 %+42.5 %+85.4 %+28.4 %
21/03/2019 06Z-21 %-50.3 %-9.7 %-20 %-35.4 %+1 %+45.8 %
21/03/2019 00Z-40.8 %-64.7 %-56.2 %-76.4 %-56.1 %-29.2 %-18.2 %
20/03/2019 18Z-45.6 %-35.8 %-31.2 %-52 %-43.4 %-9.7 %-18.9 %
20/03/2019 12Z+22.7 %+39.9 %+48.1 %-26.5 %+9.3 %+50.8 %+60.7 %
20/03/2019 06Z+39.8 %-4.1 %+3.8 %+16.2 %+12.6 %-4.1 %+6.2 %
20/03/2019 00Z-70.5 %-12.4 %-46.5 %-48 %-80.6 %-53.5 %-75.8 %
19/03/2019 18Z+52.9 %+12.9 %+83.8 %+23.4 %+45 %+45 %+2.9 %
19/03/2019 12Z-69.1 %-47.8 %-51.9 %-32.2 %-72.8 %-32.3 %-82.8 %
19/03/2019 06Z-7.8 %-3.7 %-10.9 %-67.8 %-7.8 %-18.1 %-36.4 %
19/03/2019 00Z-27.6 %-36.6 %-55.5 %-55.6 %-24 %-44.9 %-22.1 %
18/03/2019 18Z-15.1 %+25.3 %-29.9 %+6.3 %-0.3 %+32.1 %-33 %
18/03/2019 12Z+47.5 %+44.5 %+13.2 %-11.4 %+1.5 %-12.2 %-44.8 %
18/03/2019 06Z-42.4 %-46 %-2.2 %-28.2 %-37.1 %-44.5 %-28.1 %
18/03/2019 00Z-45 %+15.8 %-43.8 %-72.6 %-50.4 %-37.4 %-31.6 %
Moyenne-13.8 %+10 %-20.2 %-29.1 %-26.4 %-11 %-19.2 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
25/03/2019 06Z+0.9 hPa+1.7 hPa-1.2 hPa-0.2 hPa+2.3 hPa+0.5 hPa+1.7 hPa
25/03/2019 00Z+5.8 hPa+2.8 hPa+2.4 hPa+6.3 hPa+7.3 hPa+3.2 hPa+4.8 hPa
24/03/2019 18Z+4 hPa+0.6 hPa-0.1 hPa+4.1 hPa+6.4 hPa+0.4 hPa+3.5 hPa
24/03/2019 12Z+3.3 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.4 hPa+2.9 hPa+4.9 hPa+0.9 hPa+2.9 hPa
24/03/2019 06Z+1.2 hPa+1 hPa+0.5 hPa+0.3 hPa+2.2 hPa+0.7 hPa+1 hPa
24/03/2019 00Z+10.9 hPa+7.8 hPa+6.9 hPa+10.3 hPa+11.7 hPa+8.2 hPa+10.6 hPa
23/03/2019 18Z+2.4 hPa-0.4 hPa-0.2 hPa+3 hPa+3.4 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.8 hPa
23/03/2019 12Z+5.3 hPa+4.5 hPa+4.9 hPa+7 hPa+5 hPa+4.8 hPa+4.2 hPa
23/03/2019 06Z+0.1 hPa+0.9 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.4 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.5 hPa+0.6 hPa
23/03/2019 00Z+2 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.9 hPa+2.5 hPa+3.6 hPa-0.3 hPa+0.8 hPa
22/03/2019 18Z+2.9 hPa+0.3 hPa+2.4 hPa+4.1 hPa+2.9 hPa+1.1 hPa+1.7 hPa
22/03/2019 12Z+0.5 hPa-1.7 hPa+0.3 hPa+1 hPa+0.7 hPa-0.8 hPa-0.1 hPa
22/03/2019 06Z-2.1 hPa-1.1 hPa-4.1 hPa-4.1 hPa-0.6 hPa-2.3 hPa-1.2 hPa
22/03/2019 00Z-0.2 hPa-1 hPa-0.9 hPa-0.4 hPa+0 hPa-1 hPa-1.1 hPa
21/03/2019 18Z+4.6 hPa+3.4 hPa+2.6 hPa+4.7 hPa+5.9 hPa+3.1 hPa+4.3 hPa
21/03/2019 12Z-4.4 hPa-3.5 hPa-5 hPa-3.9 hPa-4 hPa-4.4 hPa-4.5 hPa
21/03/2019 06Z-4.3 hPa-5.3 hPa-4.4 hPa-3.4 hPa-3.8 hPa-5 hPa-5.1 hPa
21/03/2019 00Z+4.8 hPa+3.3 hPa+3.1 hPa+6.1 hPa+5.3 hPa+3.3 hPa+4.1 hPa
20/03/2019 18Z+0.7 hPa-0.5 hPa-1.6 hPa+0.4 hPa+1.6 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.4 hPa
20/03/2019 12Z+0.5 hPa-0.3 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.1 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.1 hPa-0.3 hPa
20/03/2019 06Z+0.7 hPa+1.9 hPa+1.9 hPa+0.9 hPa-0.1 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.1 hPa
20/03/2019 00Z+4.4 hPa+3 hPa+0.1 hPa+2.8 hPa+5.8 hPa+2.9 hPa+5.2 hPa
19/03/2019 18Z-0.9 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.5 hPa-0.2 hPa-2 hPa+1.2 hPa-0.1 hPa
19/03/2019 12Z+0.4 hPa-0.5 hPa-3.8 hPa-0.1 hPa+2.4 hPa-1.6 hPa+0.8 hPa
19/03/2019 06Z+1.1 hPa-0.2 hPa+-0 hPa+3.5 hPa+1.4 hPa+-0 hPa+0.1 hPa
19/03/2019 00Z+5.4 hPa+2.2 hPa+5.1 hPa+7.2 hPa+5.1 hPa+4 hPa+4.5 hPa
18/03/2019 18Z+2.4 hPa+1.3 hPa+2.6 hPa+1.5 hPa+2.1 hPa+1.8 hPa+2.2 hPa
18/03/2019 12Z-0.2 hPa+1.8 hPa-2.4 hPa-2.2 hPa+1.4 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.9 hPa
18/03/2019 06Z+2.4 hPa+2.8 hPa+1.4 hPa+1.4 hPa+2.1 hPa+2.5 hPa+2.5 hPa
18/03/2019 00Z+4.9 hPa+1.7 hPa+2 hPa+6 hPa+5.4 hPa+2.5 hPa+3.8 hPa
Moyenne+2 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.5 hPa+2.1 hPa+2.6 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.7 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Précisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont réalisés à partir des données de la période 1982-2010. Le modèle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modèle saisonnier qui est lancé une 4 tous les jours avec les données de réanalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 
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